منابع مشابه
Switching State-Space Models
We introduce a statistical model for times series data with nonlinear dynamics which iteratively segments the data into regimes with approximately linear dynamics and learns the parameters of each of those regimes. This model combines and generalizes two of the most widely used stochastic time series models|the hidden Markov model and the linear dynamical system|and is related to models that ar...
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We introduce and analyze Discriminative State-Space Models for forecasting nonstationary time series. We provide data-dependent generalization guarantees for learning these models based on the recently introduced notion of discrepancy. We provide an in-depth analysis of the complexity of such models. We also study the generalization guarantees for several structural risk minimization approaches...
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State-space models (SSMs) are a highly expressive model class for learning patterns in time series data and for system identification. Deterministic versions of SSMs (e.g., LSTMs) proved extremely successful in modeling complex timeseries data. Fully probabilistic SSMs, however, unfortunately often prove hard to train, even for smaller problems. To overcome this limitation, we propose a scalabl...
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Resampling the innovations sequence of state space models has proved to be a useful tool in many respects. For example, while under general conditions, the Gaussian MLEs of the parameters of a state space model are asymptotically normal, several researchers have found that samples must be fairly large before asymptotic results are applicable. Moreover, problems occur if the any of parameters ar...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Statistical Software
سال: 2011
ISSN: 1548-7660
DOI: 10.18637/jss.v041.i04